The call ▲ UP
NVDA outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-30 03:07 · graded in public
Right · score 86%
directionUP
confidence54%
reasoning62% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifNVDA underperforms or matches SPY price action over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade86%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
NVDAprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
Correct — NVDA +5.7% vs SPY +2.4% — NVDA beat SPY by 3.2%