The call FLAT
GOOGL underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-10 10:07 · graded in public
Right · score 83%
direction—
confidence55%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifGOOGL outperforms SPY or matches SPY performance over the 48h window
resolves48h
grade83%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
SPYprimaryGOOGLvs
Correct — GOOGL -3.0% vs SPY -0.3% — GOOGL trailed SPY by 2.6%
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