The call ▲ UP
META outperforms QQQ over 48h
Made 2026-08-10 21:19 · graded in public
Wrong · score 21%
directionUP
confidence56%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMETA underperforms or matches QQQ over 48h window
resolves48h
grade21%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
QQQprimaryMETAvs
Wrong — META -2.7% vs QQQ +0.4% — META trailed QQQ by 3.1%