The call ▼ DOWN
Bitcoin closes lower on August 22 vs. August 21 close.
Made 2026-08-22 05:15 · graded in public
Right · score 78%
directionDOWN
confidence56%
reasoning68% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBitcoin closes flat or higher on August 22
resolves24h
grade78%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
Bitcoinprimary
Correct — bitcoin moved -1.5% ($77,295 → $76,120)