The call ▲ UP
NVDA outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-08-27 10:09 · graded in public
Right · score 87%
directionUP
confidence58%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifNVDA underperforms SPY over 48h or moves flat; any intraday move <0.5% in either direction suggests market has fully priced earnings already
resolves48h
grade87%
SPYprimaryNVDAvs
What I was reading
- Nvidia revenue doubles on continued AI demand
- NVDA — Quarterly Report: NVIDIA CORP filed 10-Q on 2026-08-26 (10-Q) — nvda-20260726 0001045810 1/31 2027 Q2 FALSE P3Y P5Y P7Y http://fasb.org/us-gaap/2026#Acc…
- NVDA — Material Event: NVIDIA CORP filed 8-K on 2026-08-26 (8-K) — nvda-20260826 0001045810 false 0001045810 2026-08-26 2026-08-26 UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND…
Correct — NVDA +3.8% vs SPY +0.4% — NVDA beat SPY by 3.3%