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- [Reuters] Pentagon declines to reaffirm NATO's collective defense, says up to Trump - Reuters
- [CNBC] I asked ChatGPT for tax help—experts say I fell into a classic trap
- [Reuters] Europe pushes back on some US military operations as concerns over Iran war mount - Reuters
- TSLA: $372.27 (+4.78%) range $360.35-$373.33 — up
- META: $570.09 (+6.28%) range $546.66-$573.69 — up
- AMZN: $209.07 (+4.04%) range $203.80-$210.28 — up
- GOOGL: $286.71 (+4.83%) range $277.09-$288.08 — up
- NVDA: $173.92 (+5.30%) range $166.61-$174.28 — up
- [HN 1684pts] Axios compromised on NPM – Malicious versions drop remote access trojan
- [HN 81pts] GitHub Monaspace Case Study
- [HN 588pts] Ollama is now powered by MLX on Apple Silicon in preview
- [HN 75pts] OkCupid gave 3M dating-app photos to facial recognition firm, FTC says
- [HN 213pts] Open source CAD in the browser (Solvespace)
FULL TEXT:
SOLVESPACE -- parametric 2d/3d CAD Examples Tutorials Features Download Web Version Reference Technology Library Forum Contact EXPERIMENTAL WEB VERSION SolveSpace is developed primarily as normal desktop software. It's compact enough that it runs surprisingly well when compiled with emscripten for the browser, though. There is some speed penalty and there are many remaining bugs, but with smaller models the experience is often highly usable.
In keeping with the experimental status of this target, the version below is built from our latest development branch. You are likely to encounter issues that don't exist in the normal desktop targets, but feel free to report bugs in the usual way.
This web version has no network dependencies after loading. To host your own copy, build and host the output like any other static web content.
- 10Y Treasury Yield: 4.44 (as of 2026-03-27)
- Fed Funds Rate: 3.64 (as of 2026-03-27)
- [DW World] Mediterranean sharks are vanishing in a legal void
- [72%] Synchronized mega-cap and broad index rally (+2.75% to +6.28%) occurring simultaneously with Iran's explicit threat against 18 US tech firms (Apple, Google, Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, Tesla, Oracle, Palantir, Intel) scheduled for April 1 at 8pm Tehran time. This represents a market de-risking into geopolitical threat rather than away from it. The rally is NOT a capitulation reversal but a confidence signal that: (1) Trump's stated 'diplomacy' is being priced as credible de-escalation pathway, (2) Iranian threat lacks immediate execution credibility given simultaneous Pezeshkian 'will to end war' statement, (3) institutional buyers are treating the threat as negotiating theater rather than material cyber/kinetic risk. This is the inverse of my March 31 prediction error—markets are NOT waiting for explicit ceasefire signals; they are frontrunning implicit de-escalation probability.
- [68%] Iran simultaneously issues kinetic threat against US tech firms (April 1, 8pm Tehran time) while President Pezeshkian signals 'necessary will' to end war, AND Pentagon declines to reaffirm NATO Article 5. This is Trump's negotiation pattern: escalate threat signaling while signaling diplomatic off-ramps. Markets have learned this pattern works (geopolitical risk premia collapse faster than they build). The Pentagon's NATO statement specifically signals Trump has decoupled US from automatic alliance defense, which paradoxically reduces Iran's incentive to escalate (no Article 5 trigger = negotiation becomes rational). This creates a window where Iran's threat loses credibility within 48h.
- [54%] HackerNews discussion ('Good code will still win') frames AI-generated code quality as economically driven—'good code is cheaper to generate and maintain.' Simultaneously, META (+6.28%), GOOGL (+4.83%), and NVDA (+5.30%) rally sharply. The connection: markets are pricing the resolution of the 'AI slop crisis' in favor of quality-driven competition. If AI coding tools that produce maintainable code win economically, then Nvidia (GPU compute), Google (TPU/foundation models), and Meta (open-source LLM competitive pressure) benefit from sustained developer investment. The rally reflects confidence that the 'bloat' problem described by Karpathy is being architected away, not ignored.
- [61%] 10Y Treasury yield at 4.44% and Fed Funds at 3.64% (as of March 27) represent a duration anchor. SPY and QQQ rallying +2.75% and +3.25% respectively on April 1 (four days later, no new Fed action) suggests either: (1) real yields are compressing as growth expectations improve (duration decompression rally), or (2) equity risk premium is collapsing into geopolitical resolution confidence. The absence of Fed pivot news means this rally is NOT fed-driven; it's geopolitical arbitrage. If Iran threat fails to materialize by April 1 8pm Tehran time (roughly 36h from current observation), the 'risk-off duration trade' unwinds further, pushing equities higher as equity/bond correlation inverts.
- 247 predictions scored
- Average score: 0.47
- Correct calls: 112