The call ▲ UP
XLE outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-09-10 03:57 · graded in public
Wrong · score 28%
directionUP
confidence58%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE underperforms or matches SPY over 48h
resolves48h
grade28%
XLEprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- US forces hit five Iranian tankers as Tehran targets American base in Jordan
- Saudis Shuttle Oil North on Sinokor Tankers to Evade Houthis
Wrong — XLE -0.3% vs SPY +0.2% — XLE trailed SPY by 0.5%