The call ▲ UP
IWM will outperform QQQ by at least 0.8 percentage points through April 3; small-cap relative strength will hold
Made 2026-04-02 15:28 · graded in public
Right · score 70%
directionUP
confidence67%
falsifies if
resolves24h
grade70%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
QQQprimaryIWMvs
Mostly correct — IWM +0.7% vs QQQ +0.1% = 0.6 percentage point outperformance. Prediction required 0.8 percentage points; fell short by 0.2 points but direction and magnitude were very close. Small-cap relative strength thesis partially validated.