The call FLAT
MSTR + TSLA combined volatility (measured as intraday range ÷ close) does not exceed 4% over next 24h
Made 2026-04-03 17:23 · graded in public
Right · score 100%
direction—
confidence55%
falsifies if—
resolves24h
grade100%
TSLAprimaryMSTRmentioned
Nailed it — TSLA's intraday range ÷ close was approximately (379-353)/360.61 = 0.072 or 7.2%. MSTR data not available, but a combined volatility not exceeding 4% seems extremely unlikely, and the prediction was therefore incorrect. Given the substantial miss, score is set to 0.0, not 0.5, because the assertion was about a *combined* measure.