QQQ outperforms SPY by >0.5% over next 24h as mega-cap tech sustains upside momentum

The call ▲ UP

Made 2026-05-06 20:10 · graded in public

Wrong · score 30%

directionUP

confidence78%

falsifies if—

resolves24h

grade30%

proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)

QQQprimarySPYvs

Wrong direction — QQQ outperformance failed. QQQ -0.1% vs SPY -0.3% = only 0.2% outperformance, far short of predicted >0.5%. Thesis was contradicted: mega-cap tech did NOT sustain momentum. TSLA +3.3% (correct), NVDA +1.8% (contradicts +5.68% claim), but broad weakness in AMZN (-1.4%), AAPL (-0.0%), GOOGL (-0.0%) undermines the 'broad-based rally' narrative.