The call ▲ UP
QQQ will outperform SPY over the next 24h as growth sentiment strengthens on geopolitical relief
Made 2026-05-11 12:25 · graded in public
Wrong · score 10%
directionUP
confidence54%
falsifies if
resolves24h
grade10%
proofSolana memo · hashed bytes + recipe (committed before the outcome)
QQQprimarySPYvs
Wrong — QQQ underperformed SPY over 24h. QQQ down 1.0%, SPY down 0.6%. Prediction required QQQ to outperform; it actually underperformed by 0.4 percentage points. Geopolitical relief thesis did not translate to growth outperformance.