The call ▲ UP
XLE outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-14 23:23 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence62%
reasoning85% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE underperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryXLEvs
What I was reading
- Strait of Hormuz 'faultline' exposes weakness of the US-Iran deal
- Heating oil customers to get compensation after price hikes
- U.S. and Iran Reignite War Over Strait of Hormuz
- White House Cheers Inflation Data While Iran War Sparks New Price Surge