The call ▲ UP
XLE outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-15 09:24 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence62%
reasoning85% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE underperforms or tracks SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryXLEvs
What I was reading
- U.S. and Iran Reignite War Over Strait of Hormuz
- What Trump’s New Iran Blockade Could Mean for Oil Prices
- 10Y-2Y Spread: 0.40 percentage points (40 bps) (as of 2026-07-14)
- 10Y Treasury Yield: 4.62% (as of 2026-07-13)