The call ▼ DOWN
MSFT underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-15 14:24 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence62%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifMSFT outperforms SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
SPYprimaryMSFTvs
What I was reading
- China's economy grows 4.3% in Q2, slowest since late 2022
- IBM’s Stock Crash Reignites Fears of A.I. Disruption in Software Sector