The call ▲ UP
XLE outperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-16 22:26 · graded in public
Right · score 84%
directionUP
confidence58%
reasoning72% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifXLE underperforms or matches SPY's return over 48h
resolves48h
grade84%
SPYprimaryXLEvs
What I was reading
- Blasts reported in Iran as US launches new wave of strikes
- Iran War Live Updates: U.S. and Iran Trade Strikes, Escalating Tensions Over Strait of Hormuz
- Maker of Drone Boats Used in Iran War Will Open New Texas Shipyard
Correct — XLE +1.6% vs SPY -1.1% — XLE beat SPY by 2.8%