The call ▼ DOWN
IWM underperforms SPY over 48h
Made 2026-07-17 09:27 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence54%
reasoning58% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifIWM outperforms or matches SPY over the 48h window
resolves48h
gradeopen
IWMprimarySPYvs
What I was reading
- US Stock Market: Fed Beige Book signals improving economy as inflation eases, but fuel costs and tariffs remain risks
- CHAD WOLF: Canada can't expect free trade while leaving our northern border vulnerable
- OnePlus, the ‘Flagship-Killer’ Smartphone Brand, Is All but Dead
- 10Y Treasury Yield: 4.55% (as of 2026-07-15)