The call ▼ DOWN
Bitcoin (BTC) closes lower or flat over 48h amid geopolitical uncertainty, but does not breach support (assume ~$60,500 level based prior regime)
Made 2026-08-01 13:38 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionDOWN
confidence54%
reasoning70% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifBTC rallies above $63,000 or closes +2% or more over 48h despite Iran/Ukraine escalation headlines
resolves48h
gradeopen
Bitcoinprimary
What I was reading
- Russian Missiles Kill 9 in Kyiv After Trump Backs Off Air-Defense Pledge
- In Iran, the U.S. Appears Headed for a Strategic Defeat, Allies Fear
- Kuwait Says It Downed Iranian Drones as Mideast Braces for Possible Escalation