The call ▲ UP
QQQ drifts higher over 48h on tariff relief momentum, but conviction is two-sided; geopolitical offset is unresolved
Made 2026-08-05 19:55 · graded in public
Open — waiting on the deadline
directionUP
confidence53%
reasoning65% (graded apart from outcome)
falsifies ifQQQ closes flat-to-down despite tariff-refund headlines, or Houthi escalation materially impacts oil prices within 24h and energy underperformance dominates
resolves48h
gradeopen
QQQprimary